COVID-19 cases presenting to the Emergency Department predict Qatar National COVID-19 trends and numbers

Sameer A. Pathan; Jibin Moinudheen; Katie Simon; Stephen H. Thomas

doi:10.5339/qmj.2021.56

ISSN: 0253-8253
EISSN: 2227-0426

oa COVID-19 cases presenting to the Emergency Department predict Qatar National COVID-19 trends and numbers
Authors: Sameer A. Pathan^1,2,3, Jibin Moinudheen¹, Katie Simon¹ and Stephen H. Thomas^1,2
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Affiliations: ¹ Corporate Department of Emergency Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Qatar E-mail: [email protected] ² Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine, Queen Mary Univ. of London, UK ³ School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
Source: Qatar Medical Journal, Volume 2021, Issue 3, Dec 2021, 56
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5339/qmj.2021.56
- Received: 18 August 2021
- Accepted: 27 September 2021
- Published online: 21 October 2021

Abstract

In this short communication, we summarized the analyses, models, and interpretations of the corporate department of emergency medicine's (CDEM) COVID-19 numbers and their relationship to predict the national COVID-19 trends and numbers in Qatar. Data included in this analysis were obtained between March 1, 2020 and July 31, 2021. It included the number of COVID-19 cases that presented to four major EDs under the Hamad Medical Corporation CDEM umbrella and published data from the Qatar Ministry of public health (MoPH). On plotting weighted scatterplot smoothing (lowess) trend lines, there were striking similarities between CDEM and national COVID-19 n curves for overall trends and peaks. In conclusion, CDEM COVID-19 spike may be useful to predict national COVID-19 spike in 2–3 weeks.

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2021-10-21

2024-11-05

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References

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/content/journals/10.5339/qmj.2021.56

COVID-19 cases presenting to the Emergency Department predict Qatar National COVID-19 trends and numbers

Qatar Medical Journal 2021, 56 (2021); https://doi.org/10.5339/qmj.2021.56

/content/journals/10.5339/qmj.2021.56

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Article Type: Letter to the Editor

Keyword(s): COVID-19, emergency medicine, national trends and prediction

oa COVID-19 cases presenting to the Emergency Department predict Qatar National COVID-19 trends and numbers

Abstract

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